Re: Skill vs skill, and more heresy

From: Paul Reilly (paul@phyast.pitt.edu)
Date: Wed 02 Feb 1994 - 20:11:50 EET


  Paul Reilly replyin to Dave Cake:

> Actually I prefer, as a slightly more complex rules (but one which
>Pendragon finds the need for as well) the rule 'best level of sucess wins,
>other wise lowest roll' ie 03 beats 05 - unless 05 is a critical and 03 is only
>a special. Or 40 beats 70 - unless 40 is a failure and 70 is a sucess.
> I like this more than the RQ4 maneouver style contest of sucess level,
>which results in stalemate more than half the time.

  Today I find myself (unusually) disagreeing with Dave Cake.

  The 'lowest roll wins' method is bad for the following reason: the less
skilled person usually wins if she succeeds at all. This is just wrong.
A 90% master potter should almost always make a better pot than her 30%
apprentice, EVEN IF THE LATTER SUCCEEDS. I can do a detailed probability
breakdown if anyone is interested.
  _ paul reilly


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